Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów
The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Hetman Zamosc?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hetman Zamosc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc 2-2 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Hetman Zamosc?
- The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Hetman Zamosc played?
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Hetman Zamosc is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsCzarni Połaniec
- Aug 28, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsSokół Kolb.
- Aug 29, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsBusko-Zdroj
- Aug 29, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsWisłoka Dębica
- Aug 29, 2026JarosławvsStar Starachowice
- Aug 29, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Aug 30, 2026NaprzódvsWisła Kraków II
- Aug 30, 2026Moravia MorawicavsKSZO 1929