Where and when is Jarosław vs Star Starachowice played?

Jarosław vs Star Starachowice is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jarosław vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion JKS-u, Jarosław

Jarosław

Star Starachowice

The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Jarosław (1,747) and Star Starachowice (1,762).

Jarosław win42 %

Draw25 %

Star Starachowice win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Jarosław have 7 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jarosław
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 13; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jarosław	2.2	1.7	1	11/13	11/13
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jarosław sit 6th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Jarosław	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jarosław vs Star Starachowice?: The Footlab model makes Jarosław the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Star Starachowice.
Where and when is Jarosław vs Star Starachowice played?: Jarosław vs Star Starachowice is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion JKS-u, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.