Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Czarni Połaniec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Milenium, Skawina
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Czarni Połaniec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,775) and Czarni Połaniec (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Czarni Połaniec have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Czarni Połaniec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec 1-0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-2 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-2 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Czarni Połaniec 0-0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-2 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Czarni Połaniec 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Czarni Połaniec vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 4 (13 points from 5 matches) and Czarni Połaniec sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
- The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Czarni Połaniec.
- Where and when is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Czarni Połaniec played?
- Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Czarni Połaniec is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Milenium, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsSokół Kolb.
- Aug 29, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsBusko-Zdroj
- Aug 29, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsHetman Zamosc
- Aug 29, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsWisłoka Dębica
- Aug 29, 2026JarosławvsStar Starachowice
- Aug 29, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Aug 30, 2026NaprzódvsWisła Kraków II
- Aug 30, 2026Moravia MorawicavsKSZO 1929