Moravia Morawica vs Sokół Kolb.: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Moravia Morawica the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sokół Kolb.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Sokół Kolb.?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Moravia Morawica (1,709) and Sokół Kolb. (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Moravia Morawica have 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sokół Kolb. have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moravia Morawica | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 3/9 | 6/9 |
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moravia Morawica sit 11th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Sokół Kolb. sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Moravia Morawica | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moravia Morawica vs Sokół Kolb.?
- The Footlab model makes Moravia Morawica the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sokół Kolb..
- Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs Sokół Kolb. played?
- Moravia Morawica vs Sokół Kolb. is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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