Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Podlasie Biała Podlaska. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,762) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Star Starachowice win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Star Starachowice 1-1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Star Starachowice 1-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 10, 2024 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0-3 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Star Starachowice 1-1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
- The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Podlasie Biała Podlaska.
- Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?
- Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsHetman Zamosc
- Apr 24, 2027KSZO 1929vsCzarni Połaniec
- Apr 24, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Apr 24, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Apr 24, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsWisłoka Dębica
- Apr 24, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsBusko-Zdroj
- Apr 24, 2027NaprzódvsJarosław
- Apr 24, 2027Moravia MorawicavsSokół Kolb.