Wisłoka Dębica vs Moravia Morawica: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Dębica
The Footlab model makes Wisłoka Dębica the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisłoka Dębica vs Moravia Morawica?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Wisłoka Dębica (1,723) and Moravia Morawica (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisłoka Dębica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Moravia Morawica have 2, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Wisłoka Dębica score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisłoka Dębica | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Moravia Morawica | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 3/9 | 6/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisłoka Dębica sit 9th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Moravia Morawica sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisłoka Dębica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Moravia Morawica | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisłoka Dębica vs Moravia Morawica?
- The Footlab model makes Wisłoka Dębica the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Moravia Morawica.
- Where and when is Wisłoka Dębica vs Moravia Morawica played?
- Wisłoka Dębica vs Moravia Morawica is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- May 1, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsKorona Kielce II
- May 1, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsHetman Zamosc
- May 1, 2027JarosławvsWisła Kraków II
- May 1, 2027Star StarachowicevsChełmianka Chełm
- May 1, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsNaprzód
- May 1, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- May 1, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsKSZO 1929