Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc played?

Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm

Chełmianka Chełm

Hetman Zamosc

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc?

Chełmianka Chełm is a heavy favourite: 1,929 Elo points against 1,525, a 404-point gap.

Chełmianka Chełm win64 %

Draw21 %

Hetman Zamosc win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chełmianka Chełm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Naprzód(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Moravia Morawica(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 4

Hetman Zamosc
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Korona Kielce II(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Star Starachowice(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Chełmianka Chełm win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hetman Zamosc win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Hetman Zamosc	Friendlies Clubs
May 28, 2021	Chełmianka Chełm 4-0 Hetman Zamosc	III Liga - Group 4
Nov 25, 2020	Hetman Zamosc 2-7 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chełmianka Chełm	2.1	0.9	8	7/15	8/15
Hetman Zamosc	1.3	2.4	2	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	5	5	0	0	10	1	15
10	Hetman Zamosc	5	1	3	1	7	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc?: The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Hetman Zamosc.
Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc played?: Chełmianka Chełm vs Hetman Zamosc is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.