Mortágua vs Atlético Malveira: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 24Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Gandarada, Mortágua
The Footlab AI model makes Mortágua the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Malveira. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mortágua wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mortágua vs Atlético Malveira?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Mortágua (1,857) and Atlético Malveira (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mortágua vs Atlético Malveira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mortágua
4-3-3- 10João Pais
- 45S. Camara
- 27J. Rianco
- 16A. Sena
- 7Artur Simionato
- 23I. Afonso Figueiredo Antunes
- 2H. Lopes
- 39J. Ferrao
- 5C. Silva
- 3T. Pereira
- 55A. Verdade
Atlético Malveira
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Malveira lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mortágua have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Malveira have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leça(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sertanense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Mortágua score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Malveira score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mortágua | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Atlético Malveira | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mortágua sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (14 points from 7 matches) and Atlético Malveira sit 7th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mortágua | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Mortágua vs Atlético Malveira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mortágua vs Atlético Malveira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mortágua the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Malveira.
- Where and when is Mortágua vs Atlético Malveira played?
- Mortágua vs Atlético Malveira is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Gandarada, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.