Naval 1893 vs Nazarenos: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 24Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, Figueira da Foz
The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Nazarenos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naval 1893 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,578 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naval 1893 vs Nazarenos?
On Elo ratings, Naval 1893 has 1,814 points and Nazarenos 1,760.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naval 1893 vs Nazarenos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naval 1893
Not enough data to predict the Naval 1893 lineup.
Nazarenos
Not enough data to predict the Nazarenos lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 02:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naval 1893 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nazarenos have 2, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Naval 1893 score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nazarenos score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naval 1893 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Nazarenos | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naval 1893 sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (7 points from 5 matches) and Nazarenos sit 13th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
A question about Naval 1893 vs Nazarenos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naval 1893 vs Nazarenos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Nazarenos.
- Where and when is Naval 1893 vs Nazarenos played?
- Naval 1893 vs Nazarenos is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.