Match

Morton vs Inverness CT: prediction and stats

ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cappielow Park, Greenock

MortonInverness CT

The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Morton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inverness CT wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Morton vs Inverness CT?

Inverness CT starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,562).

25%28%47%
Morton winDrawInverness CT win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Morton vs Inverness CT

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Morton

4-2-3-1
  1. 7M. Garrity
  1. 21G. Gillespie
  2. 20C. Sandilands
  3. 27I. Wilson
  4. 19Kerr Robertson
  5. 17Sahil Bashir
  1. 2C. Ballantyne
  2. 4Christopher Cupps
  3. 6C. Okike
  4. 3J. Longridge
  1. 1Elyh Harrison

Inverness CT

4-2-3-1
  1. 9L. Stewart
  1. 7P. Allan
  2. 8A. Mackinnon
  3. 11L. Longstaff
  4. 16R. Duncan
  5. 35A. Stewart
  1. 4G. Shinnie
  2. 5Remmi Eugene Savage
  3. 2C. Macleod
  4. 15K. Smith
  1. 1R. Munro

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morton have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Inverness CT have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Morton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Arbroath(away)2-1Championship
Oct 3, 2026Raith Rovers(home)1-2Championship
Sep 25, 2026Inverness CT(away)0-2Championship
Sep 19, 2026Dunfermline(home)0-1Championship
Sep 11, 2026Livingston(home)1-4Championship
Inverness CT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Queen's Park(away)1-2Championship
Oct 10, 2026Stenhousemuir(home)2-0Championship
Sep 25, 2026Morton(home)2-0Championship
Sep 19, 2026Livingston(away)2-2Championship
Sep 12, 2026Ayr Utd(away)3-1Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Morton win, 1 draw, 4 Inverness CT wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 25, 2026Inverness CT 2-0 MortonChampionship
Jul 25, 2026Morton 0-1 Inverness CTLeague Cup
May 3, 2024Inverness CT 3-1 MortonChampionship
Mar 2, 2024Morton 0-2 Inverness CTChampionship
Dec 30, 2023Inverness CT 0-0 MortonChampionship
Dec 12, 2023Morton 2-1 Inverness CTChampionship

Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Morton on Sep 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Morton0.51.716/156/15
Inverness CT1.31.277/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Morton sit 10th in Championship (4 points from 10 matches) and Inverness CT sit 6th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Inverness CT10343121113
10Morton101187184

A question about Morton vs Inverness CT?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Morton vs Inverness CT?
The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Morton.
Where and when is Morton vs Inverness CT played?
Morton vs Inverness CT is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cappielow Park, in the Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Morton and Inverness CT

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