Raith Rovers vs Morton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Morton. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Morton?
Raith Rovers starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,554).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Raith Rovers vs Morton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 11J. Robertson
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Morton
4-2-3-1- 7M. Garrity
- 21G. Gillespie
- 20C. Sandilands
- 27I. Wilson
- 19Kerr Robertson
- 17Sahil Bashir
- 2C. Ballantyne
- 4Christopher Cupps
- 6C. Okike
- 3J. Longridge
- 1Elyh Harrison
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raith Rovers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Morton have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Raith Rovers wins, 3 draws, 0 Morton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton 1-2 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Raith Rovers 3-2 Morton | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Morton 0-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Raith Rovers 1-1 Morton | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Morton 0-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Raith Rovers 1-1 Morton | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Morton vs Raith Rovers on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raith Rovers score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Morton | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raith Rovers sit 2nd in Championship (20 points from 10 matches) and Morton sit 10th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Raith Rovers vs Morton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raith Rovers vs Morton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Morton.
- Where and when is Raith Rovers vs Morton played?
- Raith Rovers vs Morton is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stark's Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.