Mosconia vs L'Entregu: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, Grado, Asturias
The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for L'Entregu. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosconia vs L'Entregu?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Mosconia (1,776) and L'Entregu (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosconia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; L'Entregu have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Navarro(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lenense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mosconia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 L'Entregu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Mosconia 1-1 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | L'Entregu 1-2 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | L'Entregu 0-1 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Mosconia 1-1 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | L'Entregu 1-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Mosconia 0-2 L'Entregu | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Mosconia vs L'Entregu on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mosconia score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; L'Entregu score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosconia | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| L'Entregu | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosconia sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (56 points from 34 matches) and L'Entregu sit 7th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 27 | 56 |
| 7 | L'Entregu | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 42 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosconia vs L'Entregu?
- The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for L'Entregu.
- Where and when is Mosconia vs L'Entregu played?
- Mosconia vs L'Entregu is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.