Mostaganem vs Blida: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Commandant Ferradj, Mostaganem
The Footlab model makes Mostaganem the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Blida. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mostaganem vs Blida?
Mostaganem is a heavy favourite: 1,722 Elo points against 1,416 — a 306-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mostaganem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Blida have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | El Bayadh(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | USM Alger(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | JS Saoura(home) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Khenchela(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | IRB Sedrata(home) | 0-0 | Coupe Nationale |
| Feb 3, 2024 | WA Tlemcen(away) | 0-1 | Coupe Nationale |
| Jun 26, 2021 | RC Arba(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Lakhdaria(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Usm El Harrach(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mostaganem win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Blida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2019 | Blida 1-0 Mostaganem | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 6, 2018 | Mostaganem 2-0 Blida | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 7, 2014 | Mostaganem 1-2 Blida | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2013 | Blida 4-0 Mostaganem | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 15, 2013 | Blida 1-1 Mostaganem | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Mostaganem 1-2 Blida | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mostaganem score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Blida score 0.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostaganem | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Blida | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mostaganem vs Blida?
- The Footlab model makes Mostaganem the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Blida.
- Where and when is Mostaganem vs Blida played?
- Mostaganem vs Blida is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Commandant Ferradj, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.