Match

Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

MóstolesColonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,755) and Colonia Moscardó (1,765).

Móstoles win39 %
Draw27 %
Colonia Moscardó win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026A Madrid III(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)3-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Trival Valderas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Intercity(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Navalcarnero(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Orihuela(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Getafe II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Móstoles win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Colonia Moscardó 0-2 MóstolesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 24, 2024Móstoles 3-1 Colonia MoscardóSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
May 26, 2024Móstoles 1-3 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 19, 2024Colonia Moscardó 0-0 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 4, 2024Colonia Moscardó 1-4 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 17, 2023Móstoles 2-0 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Móstoles1.11.5010/154/15
Colonia Moscardó1.11.355/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Móstoles3414911514551

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó?
The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Colonia Moscardó.
Where and when is Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó played?
Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Móstoles and Colonia Moscardó

Ready to know everything about football?