Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles
The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,755) and Colonia Moscardó (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Móstoles win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Colonia Moscardó 0-2 Móstoles | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Móstoles 3-1 Colonia Moscardó | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 26, 2024 | Móstoles 1-3 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 19, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 0-0 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 1-4 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Móstoles 2-0 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Móstoles | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Móstoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó?
- The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Colonia Moscardó.
- Where and when is Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó played?
- Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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