Match

Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

MóstolesColonia Moscardó

The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,810) and Colonia Moscardó (1,779).

44%26%30%
Móstoles winDrawColonia Moscardó win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Móstoles

Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.

Colonia Moscardó

4-3-3
  1. 9Dani Segovia
  2. SSamu Guillén
  3. 19Dzhoshkun Temenuzhkov Mihaylov
  1. 10Crespo
  2. MM. Sennouni
  3. 22Julio Cidoncha
  1. 20M. Télis
  2. NNacho Recalde
  3. 3Borja Paris
  4. MMiguel García
  1. 13Guille Pérez

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Parla Escuela(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 1, 2026RC Alcobendas(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(away)6-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026Galapagar(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Unión Adarve(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Leganés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 31, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Móstoles wins, 1 draw, 1 Colonia Moscardó win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Colonia Moscardó 0-2 MóstolesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 24, 2024Móstoles 3-1 Colonia MoscardóSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
May 26, 2024Móstoles 1-3 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 19, 2024Colonia Moscardó 0-0 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 4, 2024Colonia Moscardó 1-4 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 17, 2023Móstoles 2-0 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Móstoles1.91.149/157/15
Colonia Moscardó1.50.958/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Móstoles sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (23 points from 10 matches) and Colonia Moscardó sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Móstoles1072124723
3Colonia Moscardó945018817

A question about Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó?
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Colonia Moscardó.
Where and when is Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó played?
Móstoles vs Colonia Moscardó is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Móstoles and Colonia Moscardó

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