Unión Adarve vs Galapagar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Adarve wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Galapagar?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,792) and Galapagar (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Adarve vs Galapagar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Adarve
Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Unión Adarve win, 0 draws, 1 Galapagar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Adarve 3-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Galapagar 1-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Galapagar on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Adarve score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Adarve | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Galapagar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Adarve sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (6 points from 5 matches) and Galapagar sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Unión Adarve vs Galapagar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Galapagar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Galapagar played?
- Unión Adarve vs Galapagar is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026FuenlabradavsTrival Valderas
- Dec 13, 2026Alcobendas SportvsSS Reyes II
- Dec 13, 2026MóstolesvsColonia Moscardó
- Dec 13, 2026Pozuelo AlarcónvsRayo Vallecano II
- Dec 13, 2026TorrejónvsRC Alcobendas
- Dec 13, 2026Real AranjuezvsLas Rozas
- Dec 13, 2026Villanueva PardillovsLeganés II
- Dec 13, 2026Parla EscuelavsCala Pozuelo