Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo AlarcónRayo Vallecano II

The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Rayo Vallecano II?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,717) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,714).

Pozuelo Alarcón win41 %
Draw27 %
Rayo Vallecano II win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Socuéllamos(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Intercity(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026Elche II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 3, 2024Rayo Vallecano II 3-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 15, 2023Pozuelo Alarcón 0-3 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 23, 2023Pozuelo Alarcón 3-0 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 8, 2023Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 12, 2022Pozuelo Alarcón 0-2 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 9, 2021Rayo Vallecano II 1-1 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Mar 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15
Rayo Vallecano II0.62.316/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Rayo Vallecano II?
The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pozuelo Alarcón and Rayo Vallecano II

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