Match

Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real AranjuezLas Rozas

The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas?

Las Rozas starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,540).

Real Aranjuez win26 %
Draw25 %
Las Rozas win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023Madrid 2021 FP(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023RSC Internacional(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023Trival Valderas(home)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-6Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023Galapagar(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Aranjuez win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Las Rozas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 19, 2023Las Rozas 0-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 20, 2022Real Aranjuez 0-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez on Mar 19, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez0.62.244/156/15
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas?
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas played?
Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Aranjuez and Las Rozas

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