Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas?
Las Rozas starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Madrid 2021 FP(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | RSC Internacional(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Galapagar(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Aranjuez win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Las Rozas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | Las Rozas 0-0 Real Aranjuez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Real Aranjuez 0-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez on Mar 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Aranjuez | 0.6 | 2.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Real Aranjuez.
- Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas played?
- Real Aranjuez vs Las Rozas is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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