Granada II vs Motril: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, Granada
The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada II vs Motril?
Motril starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Motril have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 31, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 24, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Granada II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Motril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Granada II 2-2 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Motril 2-0 Granada II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Motril 0-3 Granada II | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Motril | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (44 points from 34 matches) and Motril sit 2nd (65 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55 | 29 | 65 |
| 11 | Granada II | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada II vs Motril?
- The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Granada II.
- Where and when is Granada II vs Motril played?
- Granada II vs Motril is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Atlético PorcunavsArenas Armilla
- Nov 1, 2026Almería IIvsChurriana Vega
- Nov 1, 2026Málaga IIvsMelilla
- Nov 1, 2026AlhaurinovsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Nov 1, 2026UD San PedrovsMancha Real
- Nov 1, 2026Malaga CityvsHuétor Vega
- Nov 1, 2026Atletico de MarbellavsTorre del Mar
- Nov 1, 2026CantoriavsMarbelli