Match

Granada II vs Motril: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, Granada

Granada IIMotril

The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Granada II vs Motril?

Motril starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,721).

Granada II win33 %
Draw27 %
Motril win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Motril have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Granada II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mijas Las Lagunas(home)4-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Marbelli(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Mancha Real(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 18, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Churriana Vega(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Motril
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026Churriana Vega(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026Churriana Vega(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Granada II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Motril win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Granada II 2-2 MotrilTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 5, 2025Motril 2-0 Granada IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Aug 4, 2021Motril 0-3 Granada IIFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Granada II vs Motril on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Granada II1.71.7211/159/15
Motril1.20.868/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Granada II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (44 points from 34 matches) and Motril sit 2nd (65 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Motril3418115552965
11Granada II34101410494744

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Granada II vs Motril?
The Footlab model makes Motril the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Granada II.
Where and when is Granada II vs Motril played?
Granada II vs Motril is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Granada II and Motril

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