Newry City AFC vs Loughgall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 25Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Newry
The Footlab AI model makes Loughgall the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Loughgall wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Loughgall?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Newry City AFC (1,334) and Loughgall (1,404).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newry City AFC vs Loughgall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newry City AFC
4-3-3- 19K. Dalton
- RR. McNickle
- 14A. Salley
- 17C. McNally
- 12E. McEnteggart
- 7J. Chambers
- 20Scott McCullough
- 3J. King
- 4M. Rendina
- 4R. McGivern
- 1Jason Craughwell
Loughgall
4-3-3- 9D. Stewart
- 32K. McLaughlin
- 33S. McCann
- 5D. Wilson
- 6R. Norton
- 35C. Kerr
- 27J. Scott
- 4B. Murdock
- 25J. Carroll
- 3O. Crowe
- 1Ross Glendinning
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newry City AFC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Loughgall have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ards(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Institute(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Newry City AFC wins, 2 draws, 4 Loughgall wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Loughgall 2-1 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Newry City AFC 1-1 Loughgall | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Newry City AFC 1-4 Loughgall | Premiership |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Loughgall 0-0 Newry City AFC | Premiership |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Loughgall 3-1 Newry City AFC | Premiership |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Newry City AFC 0-3 Loughgall | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Loughgall vs Newry City AFC on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newry City AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Loughgall score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Loughgall | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newry City AFC sit 7th in Championship (15 points from 10 matches) and Loughgall sit 6th (56 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LoughgallChampionship 1: Promotion Group | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 56 |
| 7 | Newry City AFCChampionship 1 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
A question about Newry City AFC vs Loughgall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newry City AFC vs Loughgall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Loughgall the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Newry City AFC vs Loughgall played?
- Newry City AFC vs Loughgall is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.