Strabane Athletic vs Ards: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Strabane Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ards wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strabane Athletic vs Ards?
Ards starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,394 vs 1,292).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Strabane Athletic vs Ards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Strabane Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Strabane Athletic lineup.
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strabane Athletic have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ards have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ards(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Strabane Athletic win, 0 draws, 0 Ards wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ards 0-1 Strabane Athletic | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ards vs Strabane Athletic on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strabane Athletic score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strabane Athletic | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strabane Athletic sit 14th in Championship (9 points from 10 matches) and Ards sit 8th (52 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ArdsChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 14 | Strabane AthleticChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Strabane Athletic vs Ards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strabane Athletic vs Ards?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Strabane Athletic.
- Where and when is Strabane Athletic vs Ards played?
- Strabane Athletic vs Ards is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.