Mozambique vs Zambia: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 18, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional do Zimpeto, Maputo
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What was the result of Mozambique vs Zambia?
Mozambique won 1-0 on November 18, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mozambique have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Zambia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2018 | Namibia(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Namibia(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Kenya(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Madagascar(home) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2018 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Gabon(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Namibia(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 24, 2018 | South Africa(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mozambique win, 1 draw, 1 Zambia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2017 | Zambia 0-1 Mozambique | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Mozambique 1-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Zambia 3-0 Mozambique | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Mozambique score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zambia score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mozambique | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Zambia | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mozambique sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations (3 points from 3 matches) and Zambia sit 4th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MozambiqueGroup F | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | ZambiaGroup A | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy