Match

FC Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Höhenberg, Köln

FC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg

The Footlab AI model makes FC Viktoria Köln the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Viktoria Köln wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate FC Viktoria Köln (2,001) and MSV Duisburg (2,090).

41%23%36%
FC Viktoria Köln winDrawMSV Duisburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Viktoria Köln

3-4-3
  1. 10D. Otto
  2. 21L. Wolf
  3. 44N. Castelle
  1. 20Niklas Swider
  2. 28P. Fallmann
  3. 8T. Duman
  4. 7Y. Tonye
  1. 6T. Eisenhuth
  2. 19M. Sponsel
  3. 18Tim Kloss
  1. 1A. Schulz

MSV Duisburg

5-4-1
  1. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 11D. Kother
  3. 14C. Noß
  4. 8A. Casar
  1. 5T. Fleckstein
  2. 40B. Schlicke
  3. 29J. Bitter
  4. 3F. Christensen
  5. 20N. Jessen
  1. 1M. Braune

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Viktoria Köln have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Viktoria Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)1-13. Liga
Oct 14, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-23. Liga
Oct 11, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)5-23. Liga
Oct 3, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)3-03. Liga
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(home)1-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Oct 10, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-23. Liga
Sep 20, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-13. Liga
Sep 15, 2026Havelse(home)2-13. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Viktoria Köln win, 4 draws, 1 MSV Duisburg win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026MSV Duisburg 1-1 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
May 16, 2026MSV Duisburg 1-1 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
Dec 21, 2025FC Viktoria Köln 0-0 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Feb 17, 2024MSV Duisburg 1-0 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
Sep 23, 2023FC Viktoria Köln 2-0 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Apr 17, 2023FC Viktoria Köln 2-2 MSV Duisburg3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Viktoria Köln score 2.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Viktoria Köln2.61.5311/1512/15
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Viktoria Köln sit 2nd in 3. Liga (20 points from 10 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg10811271225
2FC Viktoria Köln10622271420

A question about FC Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Viktoria Köln the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for MSV Duisburg.
Where and when is FC Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg played?
FC Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg is played on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Höhenberg, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Viktoria Köln and MSV Duisburg

Ready to know everything about football?