FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ludwigspark, Saarbrücken
The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate FC Saarbrücken (1,912) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Saarbrücken have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Saarbrücken win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | FC Saarbrücken 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Mar 3, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ludwigspark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 16, 2027Preußen MünstervsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Mar 16, 2027SV WehenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Mar 16, 2027Hansa RostockvsAlemannia Aachen
- Mar 16, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsMSV Duisburg
- Mar 16, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Mar 16, 2027VerlvsHoffenheim II
- Mar 16, 2027Waldhof MannheimvsWürzburger Kickers
- Mar 16, 2027HavelsevsSV Meppen