MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hansa Rostock. The most likely score is 1-1. If MSV Duisburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,870 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,050) and Hansa Rostock (1,952).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MSV Duisburg
3-4-3- 11D. Kother
- 14C. Noß
- 9L. Lobinger
- 6R. Bulić
- 8A. Casar
- 20N. Jessen
- 27C. Coşkun
- 40B. Schlicke
- 29J. Bitter
- 5T. Fleckstein
- 1M. Braune
Hansa Rostock
3-4-2-1- 9A. Voglsammer
- 4K. Fatkić
- 32N. Kölle
- 8Ouassim Karada
- 5M. Schuster
- 43L. Dajaku
- 27D. Kopacz
- 17F. Carstens
- 23F. Pfanne
- 16L. Wallner
- 25P. Klewin
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MSV Duisburg win, 2 draws, 3 Hansa Rostock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hansa Rostock 5-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 2-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 1-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Hansa Rostock 3-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jun 20, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Hansa Rostock 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 2nd in 3. Liga (29 points from 13 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 9th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 29 |
| 9 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 19 |
A question about MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hansa Rostock.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock played?
- MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Nov 21, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsWürzburger Kickers
- Nov 21, 2026Fortuna KölnvsSV Meppen
- Nov 21, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsSV Wehen
- Nov 21, 2026Alemannia AachenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Nov 21, 2026VerlvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Nov 21, 2026HavelsevsFC Viktoria Köln
- Nov 21, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsPreußen Münster