MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hansa Rostock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,032) and Hansa Rostock (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MSV Duisburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hansa Rostock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hansa Rostock 5-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 2-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Jan 23, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 1-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Hansa Rostock 3-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jun 20, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Hansa Rostock 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hansa Rostock.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock played?
- MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Nov 21, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsWürzburger Kickers
- Nov 21, 2026Fortuna KölnvsSV Meppen
- Nov 21, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsSV Wehen
- Nov 21, 2026Alemannia AachenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Nov 21, 2026VerlvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Nov 21, 2026HavelsevsFC Viktoria Köln
- Nov 21, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsPreußen Münster