Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg played?

Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim

Hoffenheim II

MSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hoffenheim II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,886).

Hoffenheim II win29 %

Draw23 %

MSV Duisburg win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoffenheim II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	2-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Hansa Rostock(home)	2-3	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Freiburg II(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hoffenheim II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 MSV Duisburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	MSV Duisburg 3-1 Hoffenheim II	3. Liga
Nov 21, 2025	Hoffenheim II 4-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hoffenheim II	1.5	1.9	1	9/15	9/15
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoffenheim II sit 9th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
9	Hoffenheim II	2	1	0	1	4	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?: The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hoffenheim II.
Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg played?: Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.