Match

Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim

Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hoffenheim II. The most likely score is 1-1. If MSV Duisburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (2,111 vs 1,959).

28%23%49%
Hoffenheim II winDrawMSV Duisburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hoffenheim II

4-2-3-1
  1. 11J. Fields
  1. 10Y. B. Zor Muhammed
  2. 20Juan Tiago Esteban Poller
  3. 17B. Makanda
  4. 16L. Engelns
  5. 5K. Gjasula
  1. 3Sean Dulic
  2. 13Tristan Spranger
  3. 2Natnael Abraha
  4. 6V. Lässig
  1. 1L. Petersson

MSV Duisburg

5-4-1
  1. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 11D. Kother
  3. 14C. Noß
  4. 8A. Casar
  1. 5T. Fleckstein
  2. 40B. Schlicke
  3. 29J. Bitter
  4. 3F. Christensen
  5. 20N. Jessen
  1. 1M. Braune

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoffenheim II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Verl(home)2-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026Stuttgart II(away)2-33. Liga
Oct 10, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)2-33. Liga
Sep 19, 2026SV Meppen(home)1-03. Liga
Sep 16, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)2-13. Liga
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(home)1-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Oct 10, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-23. Liga
Sep 20, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-13. Liga
Sep 15, 2026Havelse(home)2-13. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hoffenheim II win, 0 draws, 2 MSV Duisburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026MSV Duisburg 3-2 Hoffenheim II3. Liga
Apr 18, 2026MSV Duisburg 3-1 Hoffenheim II3. Liga
Nov 21, 2025Hoffenheim II 4-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoffenheim II score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoffenheim II1.81.729/1510/15
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoffenheim II sit 5th in 3. Liga (16 points from 10 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg10811271225
5Hoffenheim II10514201516

A question about Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hoffenheim II.
Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg played?
Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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