SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Wehen have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Wehen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 MSV Duisburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | SV Wehen 6-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 3-1 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 28, 2022 | SV Wehen 1-3 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jan 29, 2022 | SV Wehen 0-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 25, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 0-2 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Wehen sit 20th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for SV Wehen.
- Where and when is SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg played?
- SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BRITA-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Sep 19, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsHansa Rostock
- Sep 19, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Sep 19, 2026Alemannia AachenvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Sep 19, 2026VerlvsWürzburger Kickers
- Sep 19, 2026Waldhof MannheimvsPreußen Münster
- Sep 19, 2026HavelsevsFortuna Köln
- Sep 19, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsSV Meppen