MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Budapest Honved. The most likely score is 1-1. If MTK Budapest wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate MTK Budapest (1,778) and Budapest Honved (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MTK Budapest
4-2-3-1- 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
- 11G. Jurek
- 80Adrian Zeljković
- 6M. Kata
- 77G. Komáromi
- 17K. Hinora
- 26V. Armalas
- 4I. Beriashvili
- 55S. Radić
- 13M. Timoteus
- 1P. Demjén
Budapest Honved
4-4-2- 30T. Somogyi
- 19A. Alić
- 5D. Csontos
- 40Adam Szamosi
- 7A. Zuigeber
- 99I. Pekár
- 11S. Hangya
- 44Á. Baki
- 4A. Szabó
- 52D. Boldor
- 31O. Hadžikić
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Budapest Honved have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paks(away) | 0-3 | NB I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 1-3 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bajai(away) | 7-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 1-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MTK Budapest wins, 2 draws, 1 Budapest Honved win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Jul 13, 2024 | MTK Budapest 4-3 Budapest Honved | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2024 | MTK Budapest 1-1 Budapest Honved | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 12, 2022 | MTK Budapest 1-0 Budapest Honved | NB I |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Budapest Honved 3-0 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2021 | MTK Budapest 1-0 Budapest Honved | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MTK Budapest score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Budapest Honved score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Budapest Honved | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MTK Budapest sit 9th in NB I (9 points from 9 matches) and Budapest Honved sit 12th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | Budapest Honved | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
A question about MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?
- The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Budapest Honved.
- Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved played?
- MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.