Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United played?

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United is played on March 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua Pitchaya

Phrae United

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Phrae United (1,445).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win55 %

Draw22 %

Phrae United win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

Phrae United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Nakhon Pathom(home)	0-2	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-3	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Esan Pattaya(home)	0-0	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Rasi Salai United(away)	2-2	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Songkhla(away)	0-0	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Phrae United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 11, 2026	Phrae United 0-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Sep 27, 2025	Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-0 Phrae United	Thai League 2
Jan 13, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae United	Thai League 2
Aug 26, 2023	Phrae United 2-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Feb 20, 2021	Phrae United 0-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Sep 20, 2020	Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Phrae United	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Feb 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15
Phrae United	0.9	1.8	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54
11	Phrae United	34	10	13	11	40	50	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United?: The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Phrae United.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United played?: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Phrae United is played on March 5, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.