Muangthong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Muangthong United (1,615) and Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Muangthong United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Muangthong United 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Muangthong United 3-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- Where and when is Muangthong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
- Muangthong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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