Chanthaburi vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi
The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Chanthaburi (1,432) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chanthaburi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chanthaburi win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Esan Pattaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Esan Pattaya 2-2 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Chanthaburi 2-2 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Chanthaburi 0-1 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Esan Pattaya 1-0 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Esan Pattaya 3-1 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Chanthaburi 1-0 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Esan Pattaya vs Chanthaburi on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanthaburi | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chanthaburi sit 14th in Thai League 2 (40 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chanthaburi vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Chanthaburi vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Chanthaburi vs Esan Pattaya is played on November 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Chanthaburi Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 24, 2026Nakhon PathomvsChainat
- Nov 25, 2026Kasetsart FCvsPhrae United
- Nov 25, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Nov 25, 2026SatunvsPolice Tero
- Nov 25, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Nov 25, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Nov 26, 2026UttaraditvsSongkhla
- Nov 26, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsMuang Loei United