Match

Satun vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Matchday 12Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun

SatunPolice Tero

The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Satun wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,007 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Satun vs Police Tero?

On Elo ratings, Satun has 1,446 points and Police Tero 1,416.

53%24%23%
Satun winDrawPolice Tero win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Satun vs Police Tero

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Satun

4-3-3
  1. 93Douglas Starnley Ferreira
  2. 44Kittiphong Khetpara
  3. 27Ajayi Opeyemi Korede
  1. 7C. Nakkaree
  2. 11E. Zaerko
  3. 77W. Nakkari
  1. 34Kittikon Khetpara
  2. 35N. Hehna
  3. 39W. Donmngkan
  4. 16C. Yara
  1. 38W. Panboot

Police Tero

4-3-3
  1. 30Ahmed Awad Mohammad
  2. 11A. Kelani Essadi
  3. 9Fernando Viana
  1. 8W. Motim
  2. 10S. Namphueng
  3. 41S. Tudsanai
  1. 37S. Kesi
  2. 6P. Sienkrthok
  3. 14T. Thanachartkun
  4. 91P. Boers
  1. 1S. Khumpiam

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Satun have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Police Tero have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Satun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Chiangmai United(home)1-1Thai League 2
Nov 1, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 24, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)3-1Thai League 2
Oct 18, 2026Chanthaburi(home)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 15, 2026Uttaradit(away)1-1Thai League 2
Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Uttaradit(away)0-4Thai League 2
Nov 1, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)0-6Thai League 2
Oct 26, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-4Thai League 2
Oct 21, 2026Surin(home)4-1FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)5-3Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Satun score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Satun1.51.359/157/15
Police Tero1.52.128/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Satun sit 5th in Thai League 2 (16 points from 10 matches) and Police Tero sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Satun10442171216
15Police Tero10316112410

A question about Satun vs Police Tero?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Satun vs Police Tero?
The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Satun vs Police Tero played?
Satun vs Police Tero is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Satun and Police Tero