Migori Youth vs Murang'a SEAL: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Migori Stadium, Migori
The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Murang'a SEAL. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Migori Youth vs Murang'a SEAL?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Migori Youth (1,538) and Murang'a SEAL (1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Migori Youth have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Murang'a SEAL have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kisumu All Stars(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | MCF(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-3 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Migori Youth win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Murang'a SEAL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2023 | Murang'a SEAL 1-0 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Migori Youth 0-0 Murang'a SEAL | Super League |
| May 17, 2022 | Murang'a SEAL 2-0 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Migori Youth 0-1 Murang'a SEAL | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Murang'a SEAL vs Migori Youth on May 24, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Migori Youth score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Murang'a SEAL score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migori Youth | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Migori Youth vs Murang'a SEAL?
- The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Murang'a SEAL.
- Where and when is Migori Youth vs Murang'a SEAL played?
- Migori Youth vs Murang'a SEAL is played on November 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Migori Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.