Musongati vs Olympic Star: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Olympic Star. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musongati vs Olympic Star?
Musongati starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,628 vs 1,527).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Musongati vs Olympic Star
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Musongati
4-3-3- 14E. Nibibona
- 20S. Ndizeye
- 10S. Halidi
- 6A. Mugisha
- 4A. Ntahobari
- 7A. Musore
- 3E. Nimubona
- 2M. Muryango
- 13I. Nsabimana
- 9J. Othieno
- 1L. Sakubu
Olympic Star
Not enough data to predict the Olympic Star lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musongati have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Olympic Star have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Muzinga(home) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bumamuru(away) | 0-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Musongati wins, 0 draws, 0 Olympic Star wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Musongati 1-0 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Olympic Star 0-1 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Olympic Star 1-2 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Musongati 3-0 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Musongati 2-0 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Olympic Star 1-3 Musongati | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Musongati vs Olympic Star on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Musongati score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic Star score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musongati | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Olympic Star | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musongati sit 6th in Ligue A (10 points from 7 matches) and Olympic Star sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Musongati | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Olympic Star | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
A question about Musongati vs Olympic Star?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musongati vs Olympic Star?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Olympic Star.
- Where and when is Musongati vs Olympic Star played?
- Musongati vs Olympic Star is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.