Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Flambeau du Centre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Flambeau du Centre (1,646) and Musongati (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flambeau du Centre have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Musongati have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aigle Noir(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(home) | 5-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ngozi City(away) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Star(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Flambeau du Centre win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Musongati win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre 0-1 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Musongati 0-0 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Flambeau du Centre 0-0 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Musongati 1-2 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Musongati 1-0 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Flambeau du Centre 0-0 Musongati | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flambeau du Centre score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Musongati score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flambeau du Centre | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Musongati | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flambeau du Centre sit 9th in Ligue A (2 points from 2 matches) and Musongati sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Flambeau du Centre | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Musongati | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati?
- The Footlab model makes Musongati the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Flambeau du Centre.
- Where and when is Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati played?
- Flambeau du Centre vs Musongati is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.