Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi played?

Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arthur Davies Stadium, Kitwe

Mutondo Stars

Nkwazi

The Footlab model makes Mutondo Stars the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 22% for Nkwazi. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Mutondo Stars (1,493) and Nkwazi (1,531).

Mutondo Stars win41 %

Draw36 %

Nkwazi win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutondo Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Nkwazi have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mutondo Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	NAPSA Stars(away)	0-1	Super League
May 17, 2026	Mines(home)	3-1	Super League
May 13, 2026	Power Dynamos(away)	2-2	Super League
May 2, 2026	Red Arrows(home)	1-0	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Mufulira Wanderers(away)	0-1	Super League

Nkwazi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Prison Leopards(away)	0-1	Super League
May 20, 2026	Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)	1-0	Super League
May 17, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(home)	1-0	Super League
May 3, 2026	ZESCO United(home)	1-1	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Nchanga Rangers(away)	0-1	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mutondo Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nkwazi win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Nkwazi 1-1 Mutondo Stars	Super League
Sep 26, 2025	Mutondo Stars 1-0 Nkwazi	Super League
Dec 22, 2024	Mutondo Stars 0-1 Nkwazi	Super League
Aug 17, 2024	Nkwazi 2-0 Mutondo Stars	Super League
Apr 1, 2024	Mutondo Stars 0-1 Nkwazi	Super League
Oct 28, 2023	Nkwazi 2-0 Mutondo Stars	Super League

Last archived meeting: Nkwazi vs Mutondo Stars on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mutondo Stars	0.9	0.9	3	7/15	2/15
Nkwazi	0.6	0.9	5	4/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mutondo Stars sit 16th in Super League (35 points from 34 matches) and Nkwazi sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Nkwazi	34	8	13	13	21	28	37
16	Mutondo Stars	34	7	14	13	23	34	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi?: The Footlab model makes Mutondo Stars the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 22% for Nkwazi.
Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi played?: Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.