Where and when is Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy played?

Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkana Stadium, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkana Stadium, Kitwe

Nkana

Man Utd Zambia Academy

The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Man Utd Zambia Academy. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Nkana (1,561) and Man Utd Zambia Academy (1,583).

Nkana win38 %

Draw33 %

Man Utd Zambia Academy win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Man Utd Zambia Academy have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(away)	0-0	Super League
May 17, 2026	Man Utd Zambia Academy(home)	1-2	Super League
May 13, 2026	ZESCO United(away)	1-0	Super League
May 3, 2026	Nchanga Rangers(home)	0-1	Super League
Apr 30, 2026	NAPSA Stars(away)	1-1	Super League

Man Utd Zambia Academy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Kabwe Warriors(home)	2-1	Super League
May 20, 2026	Nkwazi(home)	0-1	Super League
May 17, 2026	Nkana(away)	2-1	Super League
May 2, 2026	Prison Leopards(away)	2-0	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(home)	0-3	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nkana win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Man Utd Zambia Academy win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Nkana 1-2 Man Utd Zambia Academy	Super League
Jan 24, 2026	Man Utd Zambia Academy 0-1 Nkana	Super League
May 3, 2025	Man Utd Zambia Academy 5-2 Nkana	Super League
Dec 14, 2024	Nkana 2-0 Man Utd Zambia Academy	Super League
Feb 17, 2024	Man Utd Zambia Academy 0-1 Nkana	Super League
Sep 20, 2023	Nkana 1-1 Man Utd Zambia Academy	Super League

Last archived meeting: Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Man Utd Zambia Academy score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nkana	0.7	0.9	4	6/15	3/15
Man Utd Zambia Academy	1.1	1.2	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nkana sit 13th in Super League (39 points from 34 matches) and Man Utd Zambia Academy sit 3rd (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Man Utd Zambia Academy	34	14	9	11	35	30	51
13	Nkana	34	9	12	13	23	30	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy?: The Footlab model makes Nkana the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Man Utd Zambia Academy.
Where and when is Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy played?: Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkana Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.