VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Waalwijk. The most likely score is 1-1. If VVV Venlo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate VVV Venlo (1,695) and Waalwijk (1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 16P. Heise
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 8J. Nap
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 10T. van Leeuwen
- 93V. Misidjan
- 30J. de Wijs
- 55N. Held
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 1N. Schiks
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Waalwijk have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VVV Venlo wins, 1 draw, 2 Waalwijk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | VVV Venlo 0-3 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Waalwijk 1-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| May 8, 2021 | VVV Venlo 3-3 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Waalwijk 3-2 VVV Venlo | Eredivisie |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Waalwijk 1-2 VVV Venlo | Eredivisie |
| Aug 3, 2019 | VVV Venlo 3-1 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VVV Venlo sit 3rd in Eerste Divisie (21 points from 10 matches) and Waalwijk sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 21 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
A question about VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Waalwijk.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk played?
- VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.