MVV vs Jong PSV U21: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
The Footlab model makes MVV the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Jong PSV U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MVV vs Jong PSV U21?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate MVV (1,628) and Jong PSV U21 (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Jong PSV U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MVV win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jong PSV U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | MVV 2-1 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Jong PSV U21 2-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Jong PSV U21 3-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | MVV 3-2 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 19, 2024 | MVV 3-3 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Jong PSV U21 2-3 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jong PSV U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MVV sit 2nd in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 3 matches) and Jong PSV U21 sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MVV vs Jong PSV U21?
- The Footlab model makes MVV the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Jong PSV U21.
- Where and when is MVV vs Jong PSV U21 played?
- MVV vs Jong PSV U21 is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at De Geusselt, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.