Nação vs Joinville: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 7, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Nação vs Joinville?
Joinville won 0-1 on October 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 33′Vinicius PopóJoinville
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nação have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Joinville have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Blumenau(away) | 1-5 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Blumenau(home) | 0-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Joinville(away) | 0-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Carlos Renaux(home) | 0-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Tubarao(home) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Carlos Renaux(away) | 0-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Carlos Renaux(home) | 4-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Nação(home) | 0-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Blumenau(away) | 0-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Cianorte(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Nação win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Joinville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Joinville 0-0 Nação | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Nação 3-3 Joinville | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Nação 1-3 Joinville | Catarinense - 1 |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Joinville 2-1 Nação | Copa Santa Catarina |
How many goals should we expect?
Nação score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nação | 0.7 | 1.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Joinville | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy