Nação vs Marcílio Dias: result 2-6 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 7, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Nação vs Marcílio Dias?
Marcílio Dias won 2-6 on October 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 24′?Marcílio Dias
- 28′?Marcílio Dias
- 31′?Marcílio Dias
- 38′?Marcílio Dias (o.g.)
- 57′?Marcílio Dias
- 66′?Nação
- 72′José Tadeu Martins JúniorMarcílio Dias (pen.)
- 87′?Nação (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nação have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Marcílio Dias have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Chapecoense B(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Hercílio Luz(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Avai(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Barra(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Barra(home) | 2-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Avaí B(away) | 3-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Concórdia(away) | 0-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Joinville(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
How many goals should we expect?
Nação score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marcílio Dias score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nação | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Marcílio Dias | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy