Næsby vs ASA Aarhus: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)ALPI Arena Næsby, Odense
The Footlab AI model makes Næsby the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for ASA Aarhus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Næsby wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?
Næsby starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,714 vs 1,597).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Næsby vs ASA Aarhus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Næsby
4-3-3- 9O. Koertz
- 10K. Host
- 20R. Larsen
- 15K. Nyegaard
- 18A. Kjaergaard
- 8L. Larsen
- 2A. Molberg
- 22L. Jensen
- 14A. Tomaselli
- 16R. Knudsen
- 1Rasmus Jepsen-Jacob
ASA Aarhus
Not enough data to predict the ASA Aarhus lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Næsby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; ASA Aarhus have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frem(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Næsby wins, 0 draws, 1 ASA Aarhus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | ASA Aarhus 1-0 Næsby | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Næsby score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Aarhus score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Næsby | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| ASA Aarhus | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Næsby sit 5th in 3. Division (18 points from 12 matches) and ASA Aarhus sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Næsby | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
A question about Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Næsby the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for ASA Aarhus.
- Where and when is Næsby vs ASA Aarhus played?
- Næsby vs ASA Aarhus is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at ALPI Arena Næsby, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.