Match

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli

NapoliBodo/Glimt

The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Bodo/Glimt. The most likely score is 1-1. If Napoli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

On Elo ratings, Napoli has 2,155 points and Bodo/Glimt 2,270.

45%24%31%
Napoli winDrawBodo/Glimt win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Napoli

3-4-2-1
  1. 19R. Højlund
  1. 22G. Di Lorenzo
  2. 68S. Lobotka
  3. 11K. De Bruyne
  4. 70N. Lang
  5. 37L. Spinazzola
  6. 6B. Gilmour
  1. 13Amir Rrahmani
  2. 16Rafa Marín
  3. 17M. Olivera
  1. 1A. Meret

Bodo/Glimt

4-4-2
  1. 11O. Didrik Blomberg
  2. 21A. Helmersen
  1. 7P. Berg
  2. 19S. Fet
  3. 8S. Auklend
  4. 10J. Hauge
  1. 4O. Bjørtuft
  2. 20F. Sjøvold
  3. 15F. Bjørkan
  4. 2V. Nielsen
  1. 12N. Haikin

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napoli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bodo/Glimt have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Napoli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Frosinone(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Fiorentina(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Bologna(home)1-0Serie A
Sep 9, 2026Arsenal(home)0-1UEFA Champions League
Sep 5, 2026Inter(away)2-3Serie A
Bodo/Glimt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Kristiansund BK(home)3-1Eliteserien
Oct 1, 2026Rana(away)6-2NM Cupen
Sep 20, 2026Brann(away)1-2Eliteserien
Sep 14, 2026Sandefjord(home)3-2Eliteserien
Sep 10, 2026Bayern München(away)0-5UEFA Champions League

How many goals should we expect?

Napoli score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bodo/Glimt score 3.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Napoli1.91.168/158/15
Bodo/Glimt3.01.5410/1515/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Napoli sit 27th in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 1 match) and Bodo/Glimt sit 36th (0 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
27Napoli1001010
36Bodo/Glimt1001050

A question about Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Bodo/Glimt.
Where and when is Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt played?
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt is played on October 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Napoli and Bodo/Glimt

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