Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Bank Respublika Arena, Masazyr (Masazir)
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sabah FA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Borussia Dortmund wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (2,326 vs 2,076).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sabah FA
4-2-3-1- 20J. Mickels
- 21V. Simić
- 7U. Rahmonaliyev
- 13I. Lepinjica
- 8C. Nwachukwu
- 11K. Parris
- 27T. Puchacz
- 5R. Daşdəmirov
- 4A. McCarthy
- 80A. Zedadka
- 92S. Pokatilov
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1- 9S. Guirassy
- 24D. Svensson
- 26J. Ryerson
- 8F. Nmecha
- 25J. Veerman
- 14M. Beier
- 19K. Karetsas
- 3W. Anton
- 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
- 39F. Mané
- 1G. Kobel
Known absences
N. SchlotterbeckOut · Ligament Stretching
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sabah FA have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imisli FK(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Safa Baku(away) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Zira(home) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Araz(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 1, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
How many goals should we expect?
Sabah FA score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA | 2.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sabah FA sit 34th in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 1 match) and Borussia Dortmund sit 12th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 34 | Sabah FA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sabah FA.
- Where and when is Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund played?
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund is played on October 20, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Bank Respublika Arena, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.