Napoli vs Liverpool: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 3, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Full time
What was the result of Napoli vs Liverpool?
Napoli won 1-0 on October 3, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′L. InsigneNapoli
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napoli have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Liverpool have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Juventus(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Torino(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2018 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Fiorentina(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Chelsea(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Chelsea(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Southampton(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2018 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Tottenham(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Napoli score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Liverpool | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napoli sit 30th in UEFA Champions League (8 points from 8 matches) and Liverpool sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy