Brentford vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Liverpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brentford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Brentford (2,290) and Liverpool (2,310).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brentford vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 27V. Janelt
- 7K. Schade
- 24M. Damsgaard
- 19J. Anthony
- 6Y. Yarmolyuk
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 20K. Ajer
- 33M. Kayode
- 44Jannik Schuster
- 1C. Kelleher
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 9A. Isak
- 8D. Szoboszlai
- 7F. Wirtz
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 18C. Gakpo
- 29B. Barcola
- 4V. van Dijk
- 5J. Jacquet
- 6M. Kerkez
- 30J. Frimpong
- 1Alisson Becker
Known absences
R. AraújoOut · Muscle injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Liverpool have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brentford win, 1 draw, 4 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Liverpool 1-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Brentford 3-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Brentford 0-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Liverpool 2-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Brentford 1-4 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Liverpool 3-0 Brentford | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool vs Brentford on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 5 matches) and Liverpool sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Brentford vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Liverpool.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Liverpool played?
- Brentford vs Liverpool is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.