NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)REIZ Arena, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Man Utd Zambia Academy. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate NAPSA Stars (1,517) and Man Utd Zambia Academy (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAPSA Stars have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Man Utd Zambia Academy have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Konkola Blades(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 12, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 NAPSA Stars win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Man Utd Zambia Academy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | NAPSA Stars 1-2 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 3-2 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 0-0 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | NAPSA Stars 1-1 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 1-0 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | NAPSA Stars 1-1 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
Last archived meeting: NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NAPSA Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Man Utd Zambia Academy score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAPSA Stars | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Man Utd Zambia Academy | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAPSA Stars sit 15th in Super League (36 points from 34 matches) and Man Utd Zambia Academy sit 3rd (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 30 | 51 |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 25 | 33 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy?
- The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Man Utd Zambia Academy.
- Where and when is NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy played?
- NAPSA Stars vs Man Utd Zambia Academy is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at REIZ Arena, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.