Where and when is Nkwazi vs Roan United played?

Nkwazi vs Roan United is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nkwazi vs Roan United: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka

Nkwazi

Roan United

The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Roan United. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkwazi vs Roan United?

Nkwazi starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,531 vs 1,383).

Nkwazi win38 %

Draw36 %

Roan United win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Roan United have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkwazi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Prison Leopards(away)	0-1	Super League
May 20, 2026	Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)	1-0	Super League
May 17, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(home)	1-0	Super League
May 3, 2026	ZESCO United(home)	1-1	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Nchanga Rangers(away)	0-1	Super League

Roan United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 22, 2014	Konkola Blades(away)	2-0	Super League
Nov 15, 2014	Konkola Mine Police(home)	1-1	Super League
Oct 26, 2014	Green Eagles(away)	0-2	Super League
Oct 19, 2014	Indeni(home)	0-1	Super League
Oct 4, 2014	National Assembly(away)	0-1	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Nkwazi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Roan United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 7, 2013	Roan United 3-1 Nkwazi	Super League
Apr 20, 2013	Nkwazi 0-2 Roan United	Super League

Last archived meeting: Roan United vs Nkwazi on Sep 7, 2013

How many goals should we expect?

Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roan United score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nkwazi	0.6	0.9	5	4/15	2/15
Roan United	0.6	1.3	4	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Nkwazi	34	8	13	13	21	28	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs Roan United?: The Footlab model makes Nkwazi the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Roan United.
Where and when is Nkwazi vs Roan United played?: Nkwazi vs Roan United is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.