Match

Trident vs Nkana: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

TridentNkana

The Footlab model makes Trident the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Nkana. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trident vs Nkana?

Nkana starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,562 vs 1,443).

Trident win38 %
Draw36 %
Nkana win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trident have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nkana have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trident
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2024Green Buffaloes(home)1-1Super League
May 25, 2024ZESCO United(away)1-5Super League
May 18, 2024Power Dynamos(home)0-0Super League
May 15, 2024Konkola Blades(away)1-0Super League
May 4, 2024Nkwazi(home)1-3Super League
Nkana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Kansanshi Dynamos(away)0-0Super League
May 17, 2026Man Utd Zambia Academy(home)1-2Super League
May 13, 2026ZESCO United(away)1-0Super League
May 3, 2026Nchanga Rangers(home)0-1Super League
Apr 30, 2026NAPSA Stars(away)1-1Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Trident win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nkana win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2024Trident 1-2 NkanaSuper League
Oct 1, 2023Nkana 0-0 TridentSuper League

Last archived meeting: Trident vs Nkana on Mar 2, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Trident score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trident1.01.449/156/15
Nkana0.70.946/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Nkana3491213233039

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trident vs Nkana?
The Footlab model makes Trident the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Nkana.
Where and when is Trident vs Nkana played?
Trident vs Nkana is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Trident and Nkana

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