Kabwe Warriors vs ZESCO United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, Kabwe
The Footlab model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 23% for ZESCO United. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kabwe Warriors vs ZESCO United?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Kabwe Warriors (1,579) and ZESCO United (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kabwe Warriors have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; ZESCO United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kabwe Warriors win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ZESCO United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors 0-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ZESCO United 1-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Kabwe Warriors 0-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | ZESCO United 0-2 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 0-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | ZESCO United 1-2 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kabwe Warriors vs ZESCO United on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kabwe Warriors | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kabwe Warriors sit 4th in Super League (51 points from 34 matches) and ZESCO United sit 10th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kabwe Warriors vs ZESCO United?
- The Footlab model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 23% for ZESCO United.
- Where and when is Kabwe Warriors vs ZESCO United played?
- Kabwe Warriors vs ZESCO United is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.