Nchanga Rangers vs Zanaco: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
The Footlab model makes Nchanga Rangers the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Zanaco. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nchanga Rangers vs Zanaco?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Nchanga Rangers (1,535) and Zanaco (1,533).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nchanga Rangers have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Zanaco have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Konkola Blades(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | ZESCO United(away) | 1-6 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 12, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nchanga Rangers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Zanaco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Zanaco 1-0 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers 0-0 Zanaco | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Nchanga Rangers 2-0 Zanaco | Super League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Zanaco 1-1 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Nchanga Rangers 2-1 Zanaco | Super League |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Zanaco 1-2 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Zanaco vs Nchanga Rangers on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nchanga Rangers score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zanaco score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nchanga Rangers | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Zanaco | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nchanga Rangers sit 5th in Super League (50 points from 34 matches) and Zanaco sit 7th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nchanga Rangers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
| 7 | Zanaco | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 30 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nchanga Rangers vs Zanaco?
- The Footlab model makes Nchanga Rangers the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Zanaco.
- Where and when is Nchanga Rangers vs Zanaco played?
- Nchanga Rangers vs Zanaco is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nchanga Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.